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Christmas calories: plan the week, not the day

By My Calorie Pal ·

Christmas Day is the one day of the year when a daily calorie target is sure to fail, and that's fine. Your weight follows your balance across the week, so the aim isn't to survive the day. It's to plan a week with room for it, so the big day doesn't turn into a pound that stays.

What a Christmas Day adds up to

Where a Christmas Day's calories go Christmas dinner and pudding come to 1,890 kcal. The grazing around it, 1,290 kcal, and the drinks, 870 kcal, come to 2,160, more than the dinner and more than maintenance of 2,100. Breakfast is 450 kcal. The day adds up to 4,500 kcal. Christmas dinner and pudding 1,890 kcal Grazing and drinks around it Grazing 1,290 Drinks 870 Breakfast 450 Maintenance 2,100 Day: 4,500 kcal, more than two usual days
The grazing and drinks around Christmas dinner come to more than the dinner itself, and more than a whole usual day.

Figures of 6,000 kcal or more appear in the papers every December. Built up from fairly ordinary portions, a full day with drinks and snacks looks more like this:

A typical UK Christmas Day, in round figures from supermarket labels
Food or drinkkcal
Scrambled eggs and smoked salmon on buttered toast450
Buck's Fizz (125ml)70
Chocolates from the tin, 10 through the day440
Crisps and nuts before dinner (40g)200
Roast turkey, 3 slices (120g)190
Roast potatoes, 6 (300g)450
Pigs in blankets, 5350
Stuffing, 2 balls140
Roast parsnips, sprouts and carrots160
Gravy, cranberry and bread sauce130
Christmas pudding (100g) with brandy butter470
Mince pie230
Cheese and crackers in the evening420
Wine, 4 glasses (175ml, 12%)640
Baileys (50ml)160
Total4,500

That's roughly twice what most adults burn in a day. Yours could be a fair bit higher or lower, but the shape is usually the same: Christmas dinner itself, pudding included, is 1,890 kcal, well under half the day. The drinks and the grazing around it (chocolates, crisps, the mince pie and the cheeseboard) come to 2,160, more than the dinner.

How big a hit is it?

If you burn 2,100 kcal a day, that Christmas Day is 2,400 kcal over. With roughly 7,700 kcal in a kilogram of body fat, that's about 0.3 kg (two thirds of a pound) if nothing else in the week balanced it. The scale on Boxing Day will probably show more than that, but most of the jump is salt, water and food still on its way through, and it fades within a few days. Why the scale lies explains why.

So one day isn't the problem. The trouble is that Christmas tends to be a week or two of them, and what's gained doesn't come off by itself. In a well-known American study that weighed 195 adults through the winter holidays, the average gain was only 0.37 kg, far less than people believed. But it was still there the following autumn. A small gain each year that never comes off is how a lot of adult weight gain happens.

Plan the week, not the day

A Christmas week that breaks even Calories eaten each day of a Christmas week, against maintenance of 2,100 kcal. Six days are 1,700 kcal, each 400 under maintenance. Christmas Day is 4,500 kcal, 2,400 over. The week adds up to 14,700 kcal, the same as eating 2,100 every day, so it breaks even. 1,700 M 1,700 T 1,700 W 1,700 T Christmas Day 4,500 F 1,700 S 1,700 S maintenance 2,100 Week: 14,700 kcal, the same as 2,100 a day
Six days 400 kcal under maintenance make room for a 4,500 kcal Christmas Day, and the week breaks even.

Here's the same Christmas Day inside a week. With maintenance of 2,100 kcal, the week's break-even total is 14,700 kcal. Take off 4,500 for Christmas Day and the other six days get 1,700 each, just 400 under maintenance: an ordinary day of eating, not a hungry one. The week ends level, and the big day costs nothing.

You can plan your own in the weekly calorie budget planner:

  1. Enter your maintenance calories. If you don't know them, the TDEE calculator gives an estimate.
  2. Choose Maintain for Christmas week.
  3. Type your estimate for Christmas Day on whichever day it falls. The other six days share what's left.

Why maintain rather than lose? If you kept a usual 500 kcal a day deficit, the week's budget would be 11,200 kcal, leaving only about 1,120 for each of the other six days. That's under the 1,200 the planner warns about, and low enough to make you very hungry for the big day. Holding your weight over Christmas is a good result. Go back to your usual deficit on the first normal day after.

Trim the day without missing the dinner

Since most of the day's calories aren't in the dinner, you don't need to touch the dinner. A few changes around it make a real difference:

Those three changes take the day from 4,500 to 3,750 kcal, and the other six days in the planner go up to 1,825 each.

What stopped Christmas weight gain in a trial

In 2018, researchers at the Universities of Birmingham and Loughborough ran a Christmas trial with 272 adults. Half were asked to weigh themselves regularly and write it down, given ten tips for managing weight, and shown how much walking or running it would take to burn off common festive foods and drinks. The other half got a healthy living leaflet.

Over Christmas the leaflet group gained 0.37 kg on average, while the weighing group lost 0.13 kg. None of it was a diet. It was simply paying attention: knowing what things cost, and seeing your weight often enough to notice a trend before it settles in.

Logging your days does much the same job. If you weigh yourself over Christmas, expect a jump the morning after a big day, and judge it by the trend over a week or two rather than one reading.

Christmas Eve, Boxing Day and the week after

For many people Christmas Day isn't the only big day. If Christmas Eve and Boxing Day are big too, there isn't room to absorb all three in one week without some very low days. Don't try. Plan the days you can, keep the rest to ordinary meals, and accept that the week may end a little over.

If you have an account, My Calorie Pal deals with that for you. A week that ends over carries into the next one as a small figure to burn off, spread across seven days and kept apart from that week's own target. It only carries once, so Christmas can't turn into a debt that follows you through January. A week of 1,300 kcal over carries as under 200 kcal a day.

What it won't do is ask you to make up for Christmas with a crash diet in the new year. Pick up your normal deficit, and let the weekly total take care of the rest.

Logging it in the tracker

Log Christmas Day on the week page even if it's only a rough guess. A round 4,500 is far more useful than a blank, because the week total and carry-over can only balance what they can see. If you're cooking, the meal calculator can work out a plate of your own Christmas dinner from the ingredients.

And if Christmas food leaves you anxious, or you find yourself eating very little to make up for eating a lot, please talk to your GP. The eating disorder charity Beat has support for adults too.

Questions

How many calories are in a Christmas dinner?

A plate of roast turkey, roast potatoes, pigs in blankets, stuffing, vegetables and gravy is often around 1,200 to 1,500 kcal, and Christmas pudding with brandy butter adds about 450 more. Portion sizes and how the potatoes are roasted make the biggest difference.

How many calories do people eat on Christmas Day?

Newspapers often quote 6,000 kcal or more. Built from ordinary portions, a full day with drinks and snacks comes to around 4,500, roughly twice what most adults burn in a day.

How much weight do people gain over Christmas?

Studies usually find an average of well under 1 kg. The catch is that it tends not to come off again afterwards. Much of the jump on the scale the morning after a big day is water and food, not fat, and fades within a few days.

Should I try to lose weight over Christmas?

For most people, aiming to stay the same weight over Christmas week is more realistic than losing, and holding steady is a good result. Plan the week to break even, then go back to your usual deficit on the first normal day after.

Sources

  1. NHS. Calories in alcohol.
  2. Yanovski JA, Yanovski SZ, Sovik KN, et al. A prospective study of holiday weight gain. New England Journal of Medicine, 2000; 342(12): 861–867.
  3. Mason F, Farley A, Pallan M, et al. Effectiveness of a brief behavioural intervention to prevent weight gain over the Christmas holiday period: randomised controlled trial. BMJ, 2018; 363: k4867.
  4. Hall KD, Sacks G, Chandramohan D, et al. Quantification of the effect of energy imbalance on bodyweight. The Lancet, 2011; 378(9793): 826–837.
  5. Beat. Get help for myself.

This guide is general information, not medical advice. If you have a health condition, are pregnant, or have a history of disordered eating, talk to your GP or a registered dietitian before changing how you eat.